Own Santos shares? This analyst expects gas prices to grow through to 2025

Could rising gas prices help the Santos share price?

| More on:
a gas worker with hard hat and high visibility vest stands cross armed and smiling in front of an elaborate steel structured gas plant.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Santos shares are among multiple ASX 200 energy shares in the green today 
  • UBS analysts are predicting gas contract prices could rise 10% a year until 2025
  • Analysts are forecasting gas-fired power to leap in the future 

One analyst is predicting gas prices to rise in the future, so could this be beneficial to gas producers like Santos Ltd (ASX: STO)?

Santos shares are up 3.18% today, currently trading at $7.61. For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Energy Index (ASX: XEJ) is 3.65% higher at the time of writing.

Let's take a look at the outlook for gas prices.

Gas prices to rise: UBS

UBS analysts have predicted east coast gas contract prices will rise 10% a year up to 2025, according to a Thomson Reuters report cited by NAB trade.

Brokers attributed their forecast to a lack of supply as coal-fired plants in Australia shut down.

The UBS analysts were quoted as saying: "While it may take some time for electricity prices to normalise, we expect the role of gas-fired power generation to lift as coal continues to exit the market."

Santos generated $281 million in sales revenue from domestic sales of gas and ethane in the first quarter of 2022. Liquefied natural gas sales contributed a further $1.1 billion in sales revenue for the company, while liquefied petroleum gas sales generated $40 million.

Today's share market gains

Santos is among multiple ASX 200 energy shares rising today as oil supply concerns weigh on the market.

Oil-producing nations Ecuador and Libya are facing disruptions due to political upheaval. At the same time, Group of Seven (G7) countries are discussing possibly placing a cap on the price of Russian oil to show support for Ukraine, Reuters reported.

However, oil consultant Andrew Lipow told the publication this would be difficult to implement given "China and India have become Russia's biggest customers".

At the time of writing, Brent Crude Oil prices are up 1.58% to US$116.67 a barrel, while WTI Crude Oil prices are 1.28% higher to US$110.85 a barrel, Bloomberg Energy figures show.

Santos share price snapshot

The Santos share price has climbed 5% in the past 12 months. However, in the year to date, it has gained nearly 21%.

In comparison, S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has lost around 8% in the past year.

Santos has a market capitalisation of about $25.7 billion based on the current share price.

Motley Fool contributor Monica O'Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

A woman in jeans and a casual jumper leans on her car and looks seriously at her mobile phone while her vehicle is charged at an electic vehicle recharging station.
Energy Shares

This ASX 200 energy giant just signed an EV charging station deal with Stockland

Investors are feeling electrified by this deal.

Read more »

Smiling woman holding Australian dollar notes in each hand, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

2 ASX passive income shares paying 8% and 13% yields

I think both these high yielding ASX dividend stocks offer long-term passive income potential.

Read more »

A coal miner wearing a red hard hat holds a piece of coal up and gives the thumbs up sign in his other hand
Energy Shares

Whitehaven share price up 20% in 5 weeks. Should you buy?

Are you missing the boat amid the rest of the market re-rating this ASX coal share?

Read more »

Woman refuelling the gas tank at fuel pump, symbolising the Ampol share price.
Energy Shares

What a US$100 oil price would mean for ASX shares and petrol prices

AMP chief economist Shane Oliver explains the impact on petrol prices.

Read more »

nextdc share price
Energy Shares

The surprising reason why Santos shares could benefit from data centres

One fund manager is bullish about Santos for an unexpected reason.

Read more »

Worker inspecting oil and gas pipeline.
Energy Shares

Own Woodside shares? Here's why tomorrow is shaping up to be a big day

Why is Wednesday so important for Woodside shareholders?

Read more »

A female coal miner wearing a white hardhat and orange high-vis vest holds a lump of coal and smiles as the Whitehaven Coal share price rises today
Dividend Investing

Invest $10,000 in New Hope shares and get $1,006 in passive income

Many ASX investors buy New Hope shares for their high yielding, fully franked dividends.

Read more »

a man in a business suit looks at a map of the world above a line up of oil barrels with a red arrow heading upwards above them, indicting rising oil prices.
Energy Shares

Why a US$100 oil price is on the horizon: IMF

A higher oil price could be on the horizon following this IMF prediction and Israel’s reported strike on Iran.

Read more »