Arafura share price plummets. Broker tips 28% upside

This mining shares could have plenty of upside according to one broker…

| More on:
A young woman lifts her red glasses with one hand as she takes a closer look at news about interest rates rising and one expert's surprising recommendation as to which ASX shares to buy

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Arafura has taken a tumble this week following comments out of Tesla
  • The electric vehicle maker plans to stop using rare earths
  • One broker's price target implies material upside for investors following this decline

The Arafura Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: ARU) share price has taken a tumble in morning trade.

At the time of writing, the rare earths developer's shares are down 8% to 56 cents.

Why is the Arafura share price sinking?

Investors have been selling rare earths shares amid concerns over comments made at Tesla's investor day event on Thursday.

According to Bloomberg, Tesla's Colin Campbell has stated that it will drop the use of the rare earths in its future electric vehicle models due to health and environmental risks that come with mining the critical minerals.

Tesla instead plans to use a permanent magnet motor that won't use rare earths.

Yang Jiawen, from Shanghai Metals Market, told Bloomberg:

It would be a big blow to the rare earth industry if there is a complete substitute to rare earth based on current technology. Without Tesla disclosing any information on possible substitutes, I am cautious on the news.

Is this a buying opportunity?

While the team at Bell Potter only has a speculative hold rating on the company's shares, it does see plenty of value in the Arafura share price at the current level.

It currently has a price target of 72 cents on its shares, which implies potential upside of 28% over the next 12 months.

Last week, it commented:

ARU has performed in-line with our investment thesis, with the stock gaining +74% since initiating in May-22. Over the coming months, key catalysts for further stock price appreciation are 1) reaching a Final Investment Decision (FID) (BPe Mar-23) 2) securing ~85% binding offtake (34% secured to date) and 3) progressing financing for the Nolans Project. As the business successfully reaches these milestones, we believe it prudent to un-wind our risk discount for the Nolans project, which is currently set at 30%. In our view, recent share price appreciation implies these events to be priced in.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A miner stands in front oh an excavator at a mine site
Materials Shares

Is ASX uranium the new lithium?

Will uranium shares follow lithium into the breach?

Read more »

A bearded man holds both arms up diagonally and points with his index fingers to the sky with a thrilled look on his face over these rising Tassal share price
Materials Shares

Why did Liontown Resources shares smash the market in April?

This lithium stock was roaring last month. Why did its shares outperform?

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face. as he raises his hands up to his face in response to the high fluctuations in the Galileo share price today
Materials Shares

Broker says this speculative ASX mining stock could rise over 300%

Bell Potter sees potential for this stock to generate big returns for investors.

Read more »

A young male ASX investor raises his clenched fists in excitement because of rising ASX share prices today
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX 300 mining stock is surging on a deal with Neo

This mining stock is getting a lot of love from investors today.

Read more »

A group of people in suits and hard hats celebrate the rising share price with champagne.
Materials Shares

Why did Rio Tinto shares smash the market in April?

Why were investors buying this mining giant's shares last month?

Read more »

A man packs up a box of belongings at his desk as he prepares to leave the office.
Materials Shares

AVZ shares to delist along with $2.8 billion of shareholder wealth

This lithium developer is about to bid farewell to the ASX boards forever.

Read more »

a bricklayer peers over the top of a brick wall he is laying with a level measuring tool on top and looks critically at the work he is carrying out.
Materials Shares

An insider just sold $2.7 million of this ASX 200 stock

Should investors be worried about this insider sell-off?

Read more »

Man holding different Australian dollar notes.
Materials Shares

What would I have now if I'd invested $10,000 into Pilbara Minerals shares in April?

Was it a good idea to invest in this lithium miner last month?

Read more »