Is the Bega (ASX:BGA) share price a buy after crashing 10%?

Are Bega's shares good value?

| More on:
Young woman using computer laptop with hand on chin thinking about question, pensive expression.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Bega Cheese Ltd (ASX: BGA) share price was a very poor performer on Thursday.

The diversified food company's shares finished the 10% lower at $5.04.

This was an improvement on the 52-week low of $4.84 it hit during intraday trade.

Why did the Bega share price sink?

Investors were selling down the Bega share price yesterday following the release of a trading update.

Although the company revealed that it expects to deliver strong operating earnings growth in FY 2022, it was still well short of the market's expectations.

Bega has provided guidance for normalised EBITDA in the range of $195 million to $215 million. This represents a year on year increase of 37% to 51%. However, Goldman Sachs was expecting $227 million and the Bloomberg consensus estimate stood at $222 million.

Is this a buying opportunity?

Despite the sharp pullback in the Bega share price yesterday, the team at Goldman Sachs aren't in a rush to invest.

This morning the broker reiterated its neutral rating and cut its price target by 13% to $5.65.

It notes that Bega's "earnings have been impacted by a decline in milk supply and pressure on margins, caused by continued strong competition for milk amongst processors."

In light of this, Goldman has revised its earnings estimates meaningfully lower for the coming years.

It explained: "The key drivers of our revisions are: slightly lower milk intake volumes; and lower processing margins due to elevated procurement costs. We had previously expected global dairy commodity prices to offset elevated Australian farm gate milk prices. However, it has become apparent that continued strong demand from processors and retailers, combined with a decline in supply, has created a margin squeeze for BGA."

Overall, the broker doesn't see enough value in the Bega share price at the current level for a more positive rating and stays neutral.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Resources Shares

Buy one, sell the other: Goldman's verdict on these 2 ASX 200 mining shares

The broker sees significant valuation differences between these 2 major ASX 200 mining shares.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Morgans says these are some of the very best ASX 200 shares to buy

The broker believes these shares could be destined to deliver big returns.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Where to invest $8,000 on the ASX in April 2024

A leading broker thinks these shares would be quality options this month.

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

Happy couple doing grocery shopping together.
Broker Notes

Buy one, sell the other: Goldman's verdict on Coles vs. Woolworths share prices

One stock is set for a 26% share price gain over the next 12 months while the other is destined…

Read more »

Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »