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Experts Refute Claims Linking Deadly Tornadoes to Climate Change

December 18, 2021

By Paul Homewood

 

From the Epoch Times:

 

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Experts have pushed back against claims that this weekend’s tragic tornadoes in Kentucky, Illinois, Missouri, Arkansas, and Tennessee can be clearly linked to manmade climate change.

In an exclusive interview with The Epoch Times, professor and climate economist Richard S.J. Tol of the University of Sussex explained why it is so difficult to connect weather events on the scale of a tornado to shifts in the Earth’s climate.

“Tornadoes are small, rarely more than 3 kilometers in diameter. The most advanced climate models, however, cannot see things that are smaller than 9 by 9 km. Climate models can therefore tell us very little about tornadoes,” he told The Epoch Times via email.

“Data are not great, but suggest that there is no upward or downward trend in tornado frequency or severity,” he added.

Over the weekend, President Biden speculated that climate change had “some impact” on the massive storms, which have claimed at least 74 lives so far.

“All I know is that the intensity of the weather across the board has some impacts as a consequence of the warming of the planet and climate change,” Biden said, according to reporting from Fox News. “The specific impact on these specific storms, I can’t say at this point.”

“The fact is that we all know everything is more intense when the climate is warming. Everything. And obviously it has some impact here, but I can’t give you a quantitative read on that,” he later added.

“The rush to attribute the… tornadoes to climate change illustrates perfectly the political distortion of the topic,” climate economist and University of Guelph professor Ross McKitrick told The Epoch Times via email in another exclusive interview.

“The IPCC AR6 (Sct 11.7.3) makes no attribution claims between greenhouse gases and tornadoes, and the long term data show no increasing trend in numbers or severity (indeed there is a slight decrease in numbers),” he added, referring to the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report on the physical science basis for climate change. “Yet the public has been so primed by politicians and activists to blame extreme weather on greenhouse gases they hardly blink when someone like President Biden just makes up the connection.”

A Dec. 13 article from The Washington Post claimed that tornadoes have become more frequent in recent decades, citing data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) that they said illustrated tornadoes in the United States are becoming more frequent.

Responding to that article on Twitter, University of Colorado environmental science professor Roger Pielke Jr. described a figure from the article as “incredibly misleading,” pointed out that the rollout of Doppler radar systems increased reporting of very weak tornadoes in more recent years.

Like McKitrick, he noted that the IPCC has not found that tornadoes are clearly linked to climate change.

McKitrick, who recently questioned a key statistical approach used to link greenhouse gases to climate change, wonders why some researchers only ever look at potential downsides of any changes to the Earth’s climate.

“Now the alarmists are shifting to a claim that while the events are natural, greenhouse gases [make] them worse than they otherwise would be,” he told The Epoch Times. “Aside from the questionable statistical analysis behind such arguments, the big problem is that it’s ambulance chasing. The fact that they only ever associate greenhouse gases with bad weather outcomes is meaningless since they only ever look at bad weather events. They never study whether a stretch of mild weather could be attributed to greenhouse gases.”

https://www.theepochtimes.com/experts-rebuke-claims-linking-deadly-tornadoes-to-climate-change_4157257.html

15 Comments
  1. December 18, 2021 11:17 am

    We here all know this, but it is impossible to get the message through to the politicians and the MSM. Will this news appear on the Biased Broadcasting Corporation? I’m not holding my breath that one of the lying environmental reporters will cover the story.

  2. Philip Mulholland permalink
    December 18, 2021 11:32 am

    “The fact is that we all know everything is more intense when the climate is warming. Everything. And obviously it has some impact here, but I can’t give you a quantitative read on that,” he later added.

    This is completely false. The power output of any weather system is a function of relative temperature difference and NOT the absolute temperature value.
    0/10 Fail!

  3. Gamecock permalink
    December 18, 2021 11:58 am

    Facts are useless again Leftist sanctimony.

    • December 20, 2021 7:42 pm

      Facts are even more useless against National Socialist mystical bigotry. Everything the GOP says about drugs is a lie to justify coercion at gunpoint. For every initiation of force, there is unequal but apposite retaliatory force. So don’t be surprised when, to get even, the bullied find a weakness and dirk gently in retaliation. I vote libertarian and am pro energy, but I can see how ignorant violence begets retaliation in kind. I chuckle as I keep it in mind.

  4. Martin Brumby permalink
    December 18, 2021 12:13 pm

    All beyond risible and proof we probably have yet to reach peak stupid.

    “Everything is more intense when the climate is warming.”

    Or, as Princess Nut-Nut allegedly put it:- “Boris, did the Earth move for you too?”

  5. cookers52 permalink
    December 18, 2021 12:35 pm

    Half the world genuinely believe in the supernatural, the other half think their bonkers. No evidence for any such thing has ever been presented.

    Half the world do not believe in human induced climate change, the other half think they are bonkers.
    Evidence is inconclusive.

  6. that man permalink
    December 18, 2021 1:36 pm

    Clearly, there is a link to Mann-made climate change.

  7. Mike Jackson permalink
    December 18, 2021 1:38 pm

    Excellent point from McKittrick. There is never any recognition from the climate activists that there might be any upside to a few degrees of warming. They can’t even admit that a rise in deaths from more heat will be (more than) offset by a fall in deaths from cold.

  8. December 18, 2021 1:43 pm

    Richard Tol’ s last sentence “Data are not great…” describes the basis of the whole climate scam!

  9. jimlemaistre permalink
    December 18, 2021 2:01 pm

    Global Warming with even Higher Temperatures than today has happened on 5 other occasions in the last 8,000 years. Each of these 5 Warming Periods took place without burning Fossil Fuels, without writing down temperatures, and the CO2 had remained constant at 280 ppm in each of these Warming Periods and also during the cooling periods in-between. So why Now do we blame Climate Change on CO2 when it Can Not be linked to 17 previous periods of Warming or Cooling, with 10,000 years of Scientific records, from History?

    Every recent study describing Climate Change has failed to look back at the 5 Warming Periods before 1750. This all happened during our current Inter-Glacial Period on Planet Earth. The Roman Warming Period and The Middle Ages Warming Period must be used and compared to the current 20ieth Century Warming Period. This is only looking back to the times of Anthony and Cleopatra or to the years of Henry the Eighth and Charlemagne. It’s not some intentional distraction with Dinosaurs and Early Creation. In planetary terms, this is just looking back to Yesterday Afternoon, in Planet Earth’s long and dynamic History . . .

    Failure to do so is a Scientific Travesty . . . that MUST be Corrected!

    https://www.academia.edu/51184433/Climate_Change_For_the_21_st_Century

  10. Broadlands permalink
    December 18, 2021 3:03 pm

    “The fact is that we all know everything is more intense when the climate is warming. Everything. ”

    Especially the constant warnings that we must take strong action soon. But don’t know where to take it or for how long. Just keep whining as you warn?

  11. Vernon E permalink
    December 18, 2021 3:14 pm

    Has anybody noted that the public has spoken on the sbject? That is the only way we are going to get the politicos to sit up and take notice.

  12. mjr permalink
    December 18, 2021 5:17 pm

    Bullsh*t Broadcasting Corporation report on the Typhoon that has affected Philippines today
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-59709452 === Howard Johnson BBC Philippines correspondent on message.

    “Charities here have been quick to link the storm’s ferocity to global warming.
    Greenpeace Philippines warned that “as the climate crisis worsens… these typhoons will get worse, more unpredictable, and more destructive.”
    The Philippine Red Cross called Rai a “monster storm” and expressed concern that climate change is making typhoons “more ferocious”.”

    • jimlemaistre permalink
      December 18, 2021 5:43 pm

      I agree with you Profoundly !

      The problem, as I see it though, is the linkage between Climate Change and Human causes . . . and the False Linkage to CO2. Is Climate Change happening ? YES . . . is it caused by human intervention by adding to CO2 . . . NO . . . Absolutely NOT . . .

      Nature is cyclical . . . 17 Cycles of Warming and Cooling in just the last 8,000 years . . .

      The Holocene is just the second warming period in the last 250,000 years . . .

      It has been warming since around 1750 . . . the lowest point of ‘The Little Ice Age’. See Brian Fagan’s book ‘the Little Ice Age’.

      The Modern Warming Period, as I call it, Is completely Naturel for Planet Earth.

      Nothing New here! Climate Change brings disaster . . . Dugh . . .

      The more things change . . . the more they stay the same . . .

      https://www.academia.edu/51184433/Climate_Change_For_the_21_st_Century

      https://www.academia.edu/49421861/CO2_Cradle_of_Life_on_Planet_Earth

      Have a good day . . .

  13. Gamecock permalink
    December 20, 2021 12:59 pm

    ‘Experts Refute Claims Linking Deadly Tornadoes to Climate Change’

    ‘Experts’ are the problem with the world today.

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