- Gold has tumbled down on Thursday amid a risk-off mood.
- The Confluence Detector shows the precious metal may fall to $1,857 and is capped at $1,878.
- Gold prices pull back as traders book profits – What's next? [Video]
This is not the breakout gold bulls were hoping for – after "hugging" the $1,900 level for long sessions, XAU/USD broke sharply to the downside. A trio of upbeat US figures – ADP's jobs report, unemployment claims and the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index raised the specter of an early tapering from the Federal Reserve. If the Fed prints fewer dollars, gold has less support.
The next big event is the Nonfarm Payrolls – full preview – but until then, technical positioning is in place.
Where next for gold from here?
The Technical Confluences Detector is showing that XAU/USD is battling the $1,872 level, which is the convergence of the previous weekly low, the Bollinger Band 1-min Middle and the Simple Moving Average 5-15m.
If gold wins this battle, the immediate upside target is $1,878, which is the meeting point of the SMA 100-4h and the Fibonacci 23.6% one month.
Looking down, soft support awaits at $1,862, which is the confluence of the BB 1h-Lower and the previous 4h-low.
A critical cushion awaits at $1,857, which is where the Pivot Point one-week Support 2 and the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month converge.
XAU/USD resistance and support levels
Confluence Detector
The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.
Learn more about Technical Confluence
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD: Uptrend remains capped by 0.6650
AUD/USD could not sustain the multi-session march north and faltered once again ahead of the 0.6650 region on the back of the strong rebound in the Greenback and the prevailing risk-off mood.
EUR/USD meets a tough barrier around 1.0800
The resurgence of the bid bias in the Greenback weighed on the risk-linked assets and motivated EUR/USD to retreat to the 1.0750 region after another failed attempt to retest the 1.0800 zone.
Gold eases toward $2,310 amid a better market mood
After falling to $2,310 in the early European session, Gold recovered to the $2,310 area in the second half of the day. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in negative territory below 4.5% and helps XAU/USD find support.
Bitcoin price coils up for 20% climb, Standard Chartered forecasts more gains for BTC
Bitcoin (BTC) price remains devoid of directional bias, trading sideways as part of a horizontal chop. However, this may be short-lived as BTC price action consolidates in a bullish reversal pattern on the one-day time frame.
What does stagflation mean for commodity prices?
What a difference a quarter makes. The Federal Reserve rang in 2024 with a bout of optimism that inflation was coming down to their 2% target. But that optimism has now evaporated as the reality of stickier-than-expected inflation becomes more evident.