Illinois' 10th Congressional District election, 2016
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← 2014
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November 8, 2016 |
March 15, 2016 |
Brad Schneider  |
Robert J. Dold  |
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Cook Political Report: Toss-up[1] Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up[2] Rothenberg & Gonzales: Pure Toss-up[3] |
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The 10th Congressional District of Illinois held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 8, 2016.
Illinois' 10th Congressional District was a battleground district in 2016. Incumbent Robert Dold (R) sought re-election to his second term and was defeated by former Rep. Brad Schneider (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Dold faced no opposition in the Republican primary on March 15, 2016, while Schneider defeated Nancy Rotering to win the Democratic nomination. Schneider served one term in the House but was ousted by Dold in 2014.[4][5]
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
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Primary: A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Illinois uses an open primary system. Voters do not have to register with a party, but they do have to choose, publicly, which party's ballot they will vote on at the primary election.[6][7][8][9]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Robert Dold (R), who was first elected in 2014.
Illinois' 10th Congressional District lies in the northeast corner of the state and mostly comprises northern suburbs of Chicago, taking up a majority of Lake County and portions of Cook County.[10]
Election results
General election
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |  Brad Schneider |
52.6% | 150,435 | |
| Republican | Robert Dold Incumbent | 47.4% | 135,535 | |
| N/A | Write-in | 0% | 26 | |
| Total Votes | 285,996 | |||
| Source: Illinois State Board of Elections | ||||
Primary election
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
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Brad Schneider |
53.7% | 50,916 | ||
| Nancy Rotering | 46.3% | 43,842 | ||
| Total Votes | 94,758 | |||
| Source: Illinois State Board of Elections |
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Candidates
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General election candidates: Robert Dold Brad Schneider  |
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Primary candidates:[11] |
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Democratic Brad Schneider - Former rep.[12] |
Republican |
Race background
Incumbent Robert Dold was a member of the NRCC's Patriot Program. The program is designed to help raise money and assist vulnerable incumbents seeking re-election.[13]
Brad Schneider was one of the initial members of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Red to Blue Program. The program "highlights top Democratic campaigns across the country, and offers them financial, communications, grassroots, and strategic support."[14]
Presidential preference
Robert Dold
Dold is part of a group of Republican members of Congress who will not endorse or vote for Donald Trump. On February 22, 2016, Dold said, "For me, it’s personal. [Trump’s] comments about women, his comments about minorities, about Latinos — for me that’s not a guy I would support."[15]
Endorsements
Robert Dold
- The Illinois Education Association (IEA) - "We need more leaders in Congress like Bob Dold. Congressman Dold consistently reaches across the aisle and stands up for our schools and our students. Bob Dold fought for long-term funding for North Chicago Schools and he worked in a bi-partisan manner to pass the Every Student Succeeds Act, which will help local schools educate the children in their own communities. Bob has our strong recommendation."[16]
Brad Schneider
- SEIU Illinois State Council - "[Schneider] has a record of leading on key issues important to working families such as raising the minimum wage, passing comprehensive immigration reform, and expanding workers’ rights."[17]
- House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi - "Brad Schneider is a relentless defender of women’s rights and LGBT equality. His legislative vision is a direct reflection of his genuine passion for helping others. We need strong progressive voices like Brad’s in Congress. That's why I'm proud to endorse his candidacy."[18]
Nancy Rotering
- Former Rep. Abner Mikva - Mikva initially endorsed Brad Schneider in the race. However, he switched his endorsement to Rotering following Schneider's proclamation of his opposition to the Iran deal. Mikva wrote in a letter to Schneider, "When you first asked for my support, you assured me that you would not be dominated by AIPAC’s and Benjamin Netanyahu’s view on Iran. I signed on to your campaign in good faith, but have since been compelled to reconsider. I was disappointed when you came out against the Iran agreement, opposing your president and your party."[19]
- Former Sen. Adlai Stevenson III - Stevenson, like Mikva, initially endorsed Brad Schneider in the race but changed his endorsement to Rotering following Schneider's opposition to the Iran deal.
- Sen. Dick Durbin - "While the Republican-led Congress refused to respond to the nation's gun violence, Nancy Rotering and her City of Highland Park showed real leadership."[20]
Polls
| Illinois District 10 - Robert Dold vs. Brad Schneider | |||||||||||||||||||
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| Poll | Brad Schneider |
Robert Dold | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||||||||
| Clarity Campaign Labs October 11-13, 2016 | 48% | 38% | +/-3.6 | 708 | |||||||||||||||
| North Star Opinion Research October 8-11, 2016 | 43% | 50% | +/-4.9 | 400 | |||||||||||||||
| Normington Petts September 28-29, 2016 | 46% | 41% | +/-4.9 | 399 | |||||||||||||||
| Anzalone Liszt Grove Research August 2-4, 2016 | 46% | 40% | +/-4.9 | 400 | |||||||||||||||
| Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org | |||||||||||||||||||
Media
Robert Dold
Support
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Opposition
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Brad Schneider
Support
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Opposition
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Nancy Rotering
Rotering released her first TV ad on January 19, 2016. She then released another ad on February 3, 2016, featuring Sen. Dick Durbin endorsing her. Rotering released a third ad on March 3, 2016, attacking primary opponent Brad Schneider.
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Campaign contributions
Source: This graphic was generated using data from the FEC.
Source: This graphic was generated using data from the FEC.
Robert Dold
Source: This graphic was generated using data from the FEC.
Brad Schneider
Source: This graphic was generated using data from the FEC.
The finance data shown here comes from the disclosures required of candidates and parties. Depending on the election or state, this may not represent all the funds spent on their behalf. Satellite spending groups may or may not have expended funds related to the candidate or politician on whose page you are reading this disclaimer, and campaign finance data from elections may be incomplete. For elections to federal offices, complete data can be found at the FEC website. Click here for more on federal campaign finance law and here for more on state campaign finance law.
District history
2014
The 10th Congressional District of Illinois held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Brad Schneider (D) was defeated by Robert J. Dold (R) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bob Dold Jr. |
51.3% | 95,992 | |
| Democratic | Brad Schneider Incumbent | 48.7% | 91,136 | |
| Total Votes | 187,128 | |||
| Source: Illinois State Board of Elections Official Results | ||||
2012
The 10th Congressional District of Illinois held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Brad Schneider (D) won the election in the district.[21]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brad Schneider |
50.6% | 133,890 | |
| Republican | Robert J. Dold Incumbent | 49.4% | 130,564 | |
| Total Votes | 264,454 | |||
| Source: Illinois Board of Elections "2012 General Election Official Vote Totals" | ||||
Important dates and deadlines
- See also: Illinois elections, 2016
The calendar below lists important dates for political candidates in Illinois in 2016.
| Dates and requirements for candidates in 2016 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Deadline | Event type | Event description | |
| November 30, 2015 | Ballot access | Filing deadline for established party candidates | |
| January 14, 2016 | Ballot access | Filing deadline for write-in candidates for the primary election | |
| January 15, 2016 | Campaign finance | December quarterly report due | |
| March 15, 2016 | Election date | Primary election | |
| April 15, 2016 | Campaign finance | March quarterly report due | |
| June 27, 2016 | Ballot access | Filing deadline for new political party candidates and independent candidates | |
| July 15, 2016 | Campaign finance | June quarterly report due | |
| September 8, 2016 | Ballot access | Filing deadline for write-in candidates for the general election | |
| October 17, 2016 | Campaign finance | September quarterly report due | |
| November 8, 2016 | Election date | General election | |
| January 17, 2017 | Campaign finance | December quarterly report due | |
| Source: Illinois State Board of Elections, "Election and Campaign Finance Calendar 2016," accessed August 7, 2015 | |||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Illinois, 2016
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2016
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2016 House Race Ratings for July 11, 2016," accessed July 19, 2016
- ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2016 House," accessed July 18, 2016
- ↑ Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report, "House Ratings," accessed July 19, 2016
- ↑ Illinois State Board of Elections, "Candidate List," accessed November 30, 2015
- ↑ The New York Times, "Illinois Primary Results," March 15, 2016
- ↑ Illinois Courts Student Learning Center, "Illinois Government Lesson 5 - Voting in Illinois," accessed October 25, 2019
- ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures, "State Primary Election Types," accessed October 25, 2019
- ↑ FairVote, "Primaries," accessed October 25, 2019
- ↑ Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
- ↑ June 2011 Illinois Redistricting, "Map," accessed July 23, 2012
- ↑ Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 Chicago Sun Times, "Former Rep. Brad Schneider kicks off comeback bid Thursday," April 1, 2015
- ↑ Roll Call, "Exclusive: NRCC Announces 12 Members in Patriot Program," February 13, 2015
- ↑ DCCC, "DCCC Chairman Luján Announces First 31 Districts In Red To Blue Program," February 11, 2016
- ↑ The Washington Post, "House Republicans could be hurt by strong downdraft from Donald Trump if he wins presidential nod," accessed March 4, 2016
- ↑ Capital Fax.com, "Teachers union backs the incumbent underdog… again," September 1, 2016
- ↑ National Journal, "SEIU State Council Backs Schneider," December 16, 2015
- ↑ Brad Schneider for Congress, "Schneider Announces Endorsement of Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi," January 16, 2016
- ↑ Chicago Sun-Times, "Mikva switches endorsement to Rotering, drops Schneider over Iran deal," September 8, 2015
- ↑ Daily Herald, "Durbin will back Rotering, Pelosi for Schneider," January 17, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, " accessed August 15, 2012
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For information about public policy issues in the 2016 elections, see: Public policy in the 2016 elections!
