zyfin research

The Indian business cycle is showing signs of weariness with industrial activity expected to dip marginally in June 2015 compared to the previous month, according to zyfin research’s latest indicator. However, it is unlikely that this moderate decline is an early indication of the economy losing steam, it said.

Rising borrowing, policy costs deadlock crowd out consumption spending.

Demand is expected to remain muted during the festive season unless confidence improves.

Passenger vehicle sales are expected to improve in the second quarter of the current financial year as more consumers are expressing willingness to buy two and four-wheelers, according to a latest survey.

With reinforcing sentiment on job security and income recovering, consumer spending in India is likely to improve in coming few months, a study said.

zyfin research’s ‘Vehicle Purchase Sentiment Index’ has registered a steady uptrend since bottoming out in April this year.

zyfin research's consumer outlook index (COI) for November 2013, at 39.8, witnessed a moderate uptick of 0.8 points after declining for four consecutive months since June 2013.

The uptrend coincides with the period when a change in government was apparent.

ZyFin’s ‘Vehicle Purchase Sentiment Index’ has declined in November by 3.4 points to 21.0, after continuously suggesting an uptick since the start of the financial year.

This decline is primarily due to weakening in sentiment toward job security and willingness to spend on big-ticket items.

zyfin research’s consumer outlook index is India’s monthly barometer of consumer sentiment. The index is based on a monthly survey of 4000 consumers across 18 cities.

zyfin research (formerly BluFin) has pegged monthly GDP growth estimate at 4.6% year-on-year (YOY) for August, a slight uptick from its 4.3% estimate for July.

Indian startups scene is getting crowded. It is scaling up fast and raising new capital every 3-6 months, drawing the attention of global hedge funds as well as PE firms.

Consumer sentiment improved in April on better job prospects, increased expectations about household income and drop in inflation levels, according to a latest survey. zyfin research’s COI (Consumer Outlook Index) improved to 45.7 in April, up 12% on a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis.

zyfin research's business cycle indicator (BCI) for the month of September 2013, has registered a marginal year on year (YOY) growth of 4.5% as against 4.3% registered in the previous month.

zyfin research’s consumer outlook index (COI), a barometer for consumer confidence, continues its uptrend in September 2014, showing significant improvement in consumer confidence over the previous month.

The GDP growth indicator of zyfin research (formerly BluFin), a financial research and analytics company, has estimated the growth at 4.4% for July 2013, compared to July 2012.

zyfin research's business cycle indicator (BCI) for the month of December 2013 has registered a year on year growth of 4.7% as against 4.2% registered in November.

The current score has been elevated by improving consumer sentiment toward big-ticket purchases, coupled with a more favourable view on inflation.

The index has improved by a total of 9.5 points since posting a score of 40.6 in April this year. The current increase is driven by a strong improvement in willingness to spend, particularly among younger Indians.