Cable: Will They Or Won’t They?

Cable is the dominant mode of TV delivery for all age groups, but nearly a fifth of younger adults don’t subscribe and are content to connect their TV to the Internet or use antennas for broadcast. As they age, will they eventually accept cable?

How people

without cable

get their TV

programming*

20% OF

EACH AGE

GROUP

15

10

Broadcast

5

TV set

connected

to Internet only

18-

24

25-

29

30-

34

35-

39

40-

44

45-

49

50-

54

55-

59

60-

64

AGE

*Includes only those able to watch

TV programming via TV sets.

Dropping Cable

(After They Move Out)

Cable is a tougher sell to millennials. Many do without it once they live in their own homes. Millennial households without children are the least likely to have cable — one quarter use the Internet or antennas instead.

Millennials living in parents’ or others’ homes

Internet

2%

11

%

Broadcast

9

don’t have

cable

Cable

In their own homes, with children

6

20

%

14

In their own homes, without children

13

25

%

12

Cable: Will They Or Won’t They?

Dropping Cable (After They Move Out)

Cable is the dominant mode of TV delivery for all age groups, but nearly a fifth of younger adults don’t subscribe and are content to connect their TV to the Internet or use antennas for broadcast. As they age, will they eventually accept cable?

Cable is a tougher sell to millennials. Many do without it once they live in their own homes. Millennial households without children are the least likely to have cable — one quarter use the Internet or antennas instead.

How people

without cable

get their TV

programming*

Millennials living in parents’ or others’ homes

Internet

2%

20% OF

EACH AGE

GROUP

11

%

Broadcast

9

don’t have

cable

Cable

15

6

In their own homes, with children

20

%

10

14

Broadcast

5

In their own homes, without children

TV set

connected

to Internet only

13

25

%

12

18-

24

25-

29

30-

34

35-

39

40-

44

45-

49

50-

54

55-

59

60-

64

AGE

*Includes only those able to watch TV programming via TV sets.

Could millennials end up connecting the cord after all?The decision to go without a traditional cable or satellite service and rely exclusively on Internet streaming video might last only until millennials start families, new Nielsen research on the media habits of the 18-to-34 age group suggests.Millennials, more than a fifth of the total American TV audience of about 292 million adults and children, are considered crucial to the future of television because marketers covet their high earning potential and receptivity to ads. Yet with much of media in flux, their viewing habits continue to confound researchers, although the new numbers offer some clarity.Nielsen analyzed members of the group by segregating them by life situations: millennials living in their parents’ or someone else’s home, those living on their own without children and those living on their own with children.Since there are roughly two and half times as many millennials in the first two groups as in the group with children, many more millennials can be expected to eventually start families. And Nielsen found that millennials who had done so were more likely to subscribe to a pay-TV service than their peers without children.“We think behaviors could change once the so-called millennials start having families,” said Glenn B. Enoch, senior vice president for audience insights at Nielsen. New parents’ desire for better programming for their children will help drive them to cable, media executives have predicted.About 80 percent of millennials with their own homes who have started families subscribe to cable, and an additional 14 percent get television with an antenna, according to Nielsen. Only 6 percent have just broadband connected to a television set.Among childless millennials who live in their own homes, about 75 percent subscribe to cable television, while 13 percent live in so-called broadband-only homes.The numbers skew by income and geography. Among millennials with children, lower adoption of broadband and streaming video services correlates with lower income and living in smaller towns or rural areas, where digital services may not be optimal.In contrast, childless millennials living on their own tend to have gone to college, live in urban areas and hold white-collar jobs with higher pay; they can better afford to pay for premium Internet service, which is more readily available.In any case, cord-cutting accelerated during the second quarter this year, industry analysts say. So it is still unclear whether digitally astute millennials who want to have children will find it necessary to subscribe to a traditional service, particularly as the number of streaming alternatives explodes. Outlets like Netflix and Amazon are pouring resources into acquiring and developing exclusive children’s series, knowing that can lure parents to subscribe.About the only thing that can be said for certain about this pivotal audience segment is that millennials are watching television in new and different ways. The numbers presented here help fill out the picture.

Watching Television With No TV

Other devices have been chipping away at the reign of the traditional television set for some time. Among viewers ages 14 to 25, TVs finally have lost out: The bulk of their time watching shows is on computers, tablets and smartphones.

Portion of TV watching on a TV set

68+

90%

9

AGE

49-67

81

16

32-48

70

19

8

4

26-31

57

28

8

7

14-25

43

41

8

8

Computer

Tablet

Smartphone

Getting TV Shows Their Way

Here are percentages of respondents’ chief reasons for watching television online, sorted by age group. Avoiding advertising is nearly as important to young viewers as catching up on missed episodes.

Why Watch TV Online?

Because I missed the scheduled episode:

18-34

16%

35-54

22

55+

29

Because there are fewer ads:

18-34

13

35-54

7

55+

1

Because it’s cheaper than pay TV:

18-34

12

35-54

8

55+

5

When to Watch?

Nearly half of millennials report that they typically watch original TV series after they are broadcast:

Live

54%

Up to 3 days later

28%

4-7 days later

10

7

More than

a week later

Watching Television With No TV

Getting TV Shows Their Way

Other devices have been chipping away at the reign of the traditional television set for some time. Among viewers ages 14 to 25, TVs finally have lost out: The bulk of their time watching shows is on computers, tablets and smartphones.

Here are percentages of respondents’ chief reasons for watching television online, sorted by age group. Avoiding advertising is nearly as important to young viewers as catching up on missed episodes.

Portion of TV watching on a TV set

Why Watch TV Online?

Because I missed the scheduled episode:

68+

90%

9

AGE

18-34

16%

35-54

22

55+

29

Because there are fewer ads:

49-67

81

16

18-34

13

35-54

7

55+

1

32-48

70

19

8

4

Because it’s cheaper than pay TV:

18-34

12

35-54

8

26-31

57

28

8

7

55+

5

When to Watch?

Nearly half of millennials report that they typically watch original TV series after they are broadcast:

14-25

43

41

8

8

Live

54%

Up to 3 days later

28%

Computer

4-7 days later

10

Tablet

7

More than a week later

Smartphone

Where Entertainment Lives:

On Smartphones

Time spent on smartphone-based entertainment — music, videos, games (but not instant messaging or social media) — has doubled in just a little more than a year among those 18-24. They now average nearly 40 hours a month.

RISE IN TIME SPENT:

+105%

40 HOURS

Youngest

Millennials

18-24

30

+51%

Older

Millennials

25-34

20

+40%

AGES 35+

10

JUNE

JAN.

AUG.

2014

2015

And The Winning Medium Is … Radio?

More adults use AM and FM radio than any other media type, and this excludes satellite and most streaming radio. Television has a similar reach — except, conspicuously, for millennials. Nearly a quarter have no use for it in any given week.

Radio

(percent of population using each week)

AGES

18-34

93%

35-49

95

50+

91

Television

18-34

76

35-49

90

50+

93

Smartphones

(Web and app usage only)

18-34

80

35-49

81

50+

56

Personal computers

18-34

49

35-49

63

50+

54

Tablets

(Web and app usage only)

18-34

42

35-49

49

50+

22

Where Entertainment Lives: Smartphones

And the Winning Medium Is … Radio?

Time spent on smartphone-based entertainment — music, videos, games (but not instant messaging or social media) — has doubled in just a little more than a year among those 18-24. They now average nearly 40 hours a month.

More adults use AM and FM radio than any other media type, and this excludes satellite and most streaming radio. Television has a similar reach — except, conspicuously, for millennials. Nearly a quarter have no use for it in any given week.

RISE IN TIME SPENT:

Radio

(percent of population using each week)

+105%

AGES

18-34

93%

40 HOURS

35-49

95

50+

91

Youngest

Millennials

18-24

Television

18-34

76

30

35-49

90

+51%

50+

93

Smartphones

(Web and app usage only)

Older

Millennials

18-34

80

25-34

35-49

81

20

50+

56

+40%

Personal computers

18-34

49

AGES 35+

35-49

63

50+

54

10

Tablets

(Web and app usage only)

18-34

42

JUNE

JAN.

AUG.

35-49

2014

2015

49

50+

22