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The Accidental Superpower: The Next Generation of American Preeminence and the Coming Global Disorder Hardcover – November 4, 2014
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An eye-opening assement of American power and deglobalization in the bestselling tradition of The World is Flat and The Next 100 Years.
Near the end of the Second World War, the United States made a bold strategic gambit that rewired the international system. Empires were abolished and replaced by a global arrangement enforced by the U.S. Navy. With all the world's oceans safe for the first time in history, markets and resources were made available for everyone. Enemies became partners.
We think of this system as normal - it is not. We live in an artificial world on borrowed time.
In The Accidental Superpower, international strategist Peter Zeihan examines how the hard rules of geography are eroding the American commitment to free trade; how much of the planet is aging into a mass retirement that will enervate markets and capital supplies; and how, against all odds, it is the ever-ravenous American economy that - alone among the developed nations - is rapidly approaching energy independence. Combined, these factors are doing nothing less than overturning the global system and ushering in a new (dis)order.
For most, that is a disaster-in-waiting, but not for the Americans. The shale revolution allows Americans to sidestep an increasingly dangerous energy market. Only the United States boasts a youth population large enough to escape the sucking maw of global aging. Most important, geography will matter more than ever in a de-globalizing world, and America's geography is simply sublime.
- Print length384 pages
- LanguageEnglish
- PublisherTwelve
- Publication dateNovember 4, 2014
- Dimensions6.4 x 1.55 x 9.35 inches
- ISBN-101455583669
- ISBN-13978-1455583669
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- Publisher : Twelve; Illustrated edition (November 4, 2014)
- Language : English
- Hardcover : 384 pages
- ISBN-10 : 1455583669
- ISBN-13 : 978-1455583669
- Item Weight : 1.28 pounds
- Dimensions : 6.4 x 1.55 x 9.35 inches
- Best Sellers Rank: #278,765 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #81 in Non-US Legal Systems (Books)
- #102 in Comparative Politics
- #199 in Globalization & Politics
- Customer Reviews:
About the author
Geopolitical Strategist Peter Zeihan is a global energy, demographic and security expert.
Zeihan’s worldview marries the realities of geography and populations to a deep understanding of how global politics impact markets and economic trends, helping industry leaders navigate today’s complex mix of geopolitical risks and opportunities. With a keen eye toward what will drive tomorrow’s headlines, his irreverent approach transforms topics that are normally dense and heavy into accessible, relevant takeaways for audiences of all types.
In his career, Zeihan has ranged from working for the US State Department in Australia, to the DC think tank community, to helping develop the analytical models for Stratfor, one of the world’s premier private intelligence companies. Mr. Zeihan founded his own firm -- Zeihan on Geopolitics -- in 2012 in order to provide a select group of clients with direct, custom analytical products. Today those clients represent a vast array of sectors including energy majors, financial institutions, business associations, agricultural interests, universities and the U.S. military.
His freshman book, The Accidental Superpower, debuted in 2014. He followed Accidental with The Absent Superpower (2016), Disunited Nations (2019), and in June of 2022 his newest release: The End of the World is Just the Beginning: Mapping the Collapse of Globalization.
Find out more about Peter -- and your world -- at www.zeihan.com
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The geography of a country’s borders, it’s ability or lack thereof to defend those borders. Whether it has the land to grow crops or must import. Extract oil or import oil. All of these are fixed. Every country must decide how to deal with these issues, or cease to exist. Hungry people will do desperate things.
There are fewer young people today than old and they are having fewer babies. It is not likely this trend will change, but even if it does “it takes twenty years to create a twenty year old person”. The trajectory we are currently on is going to continue for at least decades. PZ accurately predicted what Russia is currently doing because if they waited any longer they would not have enough soldiers to fight.
His writing style is fantastic. His books are page turners. If you want to understand what is happening, and have a sense of what the future holds, you will enjoy reading his books.
However, the author seems to completely ignore other ongoing and developing factors that could mitigate some of his core assumptions. Such as:
The revolution in material science and it's impact on power consumption, efficiency, emerging tech such as Ai, robotics and it's impact on age demographics and basic labor, high temp superconducting, effects of climate changes that are occurring (for whatever reason ) and will most likely continue or accelerate.
The rise of new energy production tech... his world is entirely oil-centric.
He completely ignores (perhaps due to the publication date) The Chinese reaction since publication to the very forces he describes ie... China's massive belt and road initiative and their massive build up in Naval capacity which is overtaking the US in almost every metric.
Another World War which could reshuffle the entire equation.
His bright view our unique American place in the world ignores deep domestic problems and the widening political / ideological rifts and possible trajectory towards violent dysfunction and/or Balkanization... a quick look at his more recent publications would indicate they continue not to factor into his equations.
These factors, all told I believe do not constitute a concrete road map to the future as his confidence would indicate, but illuminating and very instructive none the less and a very compelling read.
Hard to put down once you start. Thank you Peter
I think this should be mandatory reading for citizens of the US. Maybe it’s not too late for us to gain a reasonable and realistic perspective on our privileged position of in the world. Are we lucky, or what?!